America’s Cycles of Change

The California Distortion and the Doom of the Democrats

Mon, 23 January 2017

In the 2016 US presidential election, Democratic Party candidate Hillary Clinton certainly won more votes overall than her Republican opponent Donald Trump:

However almost all the commentary on her defeat ignored a crucial factor that ominously may spell the eclipse and even extinction of the Democratic Party as a credible body of national power over the coming decade.

Clinton ran up an enormous majority of 3 million votes over Trump in the state of California, the most populous in the entire country.

This reflected an inexorable long-term trend: The Democrats look entrenched in power across California with a permanent majority in its state senate, the majority of its state legislature seats and in control of its governorship for the foreseeable future.

However, when the lopsided results of California are deducted from the national total, Trump, arguably the weakest and most controversial Republican candidate since Herbert Hoover in 1932 at the height of the Great Depression still managed to defeat Clinton in all other 49 states, even including massively pro-Democrat New York by a margin of more than 1 million votes.

Support for the Democrats was even more distorted and vulnerable than that: One third of all Clinton’s votes as the Democratic nominee came from only three states with a combined 20 percent – a mere one fifth – of the national US population between them: California, New York and little Massachusetts.

In other words, the Democrats are rapidly becoming a regional party of the two high-population and high tech, prosperous coasts of the United States but they increasingly appear doomed to eternal minorities across the great continental landmass in between.