America’s Cycles of Change

Who is Martin Sieff?

Martin Sieff is the country’s foremost authority on the Cycles of Change. Over the past quarter century, he has developed an unparalleled record in covering and predicting the main economic and security developments of the world. During his 24 years as a senior foreign correspondent for The Washington Times and United Press International, Sieff reported from more than 70 nations and covered 12 wars. He has specialized in U.S. and global economic issues and predicted:

  • The Collapse of Communism and the disintegration of the Soviet Union
  • The disintegration of Yugoslavia and the outbreak of multiple civil wars on its territories
  • The collapse of the U.S. housing bubble
  • The new 21st century Russian-Chinese strategic alliance against the United States
  • The September 2008 Wall Street meltdown.
  • The accelerating disintegration of the US industrial and manufacturing sectors.
  • The escalating guerrilla war against US forces in Iraq following the apparently rapid 2003 conquest of the country and the inability of US forces and strategists to eradicate it.
  • The failure of US nation building in Afghanistan.
  • Saddam Hussein’s 1990 invasion of Iraq.
  • In 2003, that Saudi security forces would successfully eradicate al-Qaeda in its unsuccessful attempts to destabilize the country.
  • In 2004-2005, the success of Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon’s security barrier/fence in shutting down the Second Palestinian Intifada.
  • In 2004-2005, that the issue of US border security with Mexico and the strengthening of border defenses would become a major and continuing political issue in the Southwest United States.
  • Russia’s August 2008 invasion of Georgia.
  • In 2008, Sieff predicted President Obama’s victory margin in the presidential election to within 1 percent. He also predicted the Democratic victory margin in the House of Representatives to within 5 seats and in the Senate to within 2 seats.
  • In 2006 he predicted that the Republicans would lose control of both houses of Congress.

Martin Sieff is the author of

  • Cycles of Change: The Three Great Cycles of American History & the Coming Crisis That Will Lead to the Fourth (2014), available through
  • Gathering Storm: The Seventh Era of American History, and the Coming Crises That Will Lead to It (2014), available through
  • That Should Still Be Us: How Thomas Friedman’s Flat World Myths Are Keeping Us Flat on Our Backs (Wiley and Co., 2012) – in which he presented a realistic, detailed strategy for restoring U.S. industry and manufacturing, and restoring U.S. domestic energy production.
  • Shifting Superpowers: The New and Emerging Relationships between the United States, China and India (Cato Institute, 2010) and
  • The Politically Incorrect Guide to the Middle East (Regnery, 2008).

Sieff served as Chief Foreign Correspondent of The Washington Times and as Chief News Analyst and Managing Editor, International Affairs for United Press International. He has received three Pulitzer Prize nominations for International Reporting.

Sieff also served as UPI’s National Security and Defense Industry Editor. For five years he produced the weekly BMD (Ballistic Missile Defense) Watch and BMD Analysis columns for UPI, the most comprehensive news and analytical coverage of ballistic missile threats and defense to appear regularly throughout that time in the mainstream US media. He was also UPI’s chief analyst on the Iraq War from 2003 through 2007.

From 2009 to 2014, Sieff was Chief Analyst at The Globalist, & Senior Fellow of the Globalist Foundation. Since 2010, he has been a correspondent for The Asia Pacific Defense Forum. Sieff is also a Senior Fellow at The American University in Moscow.

Sieff has travelled extensively throughout the former Soviet republics and has reported extensively on the nations of Central Asia. He has reported extensively on the developing energy economies of Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. He is an expert on Chinese and Russian policies and on the security dynamics of Northeast and Southeast Asia.

Sieff is also an expert on Russia and the Soviet Union and has reported from and traveled extensively in the most remote reaches of those countries including Tatarstan, the Caucasus, the Baikonur Cosmodrome, Siberia, Lake Baikal, the Chinese border region along the Amur river, the sensitive Kaliningrad military district, the middle Volga region and many other areas. He is one of the leading journalistic authorities in the United States on Russian military and nuclear capabilities.

From 1994 to 1999, Sieff was Chief Foreign Correspondent for The Washington Times. He was the Times’ Soviet and East European correspondent covering the collapse of communism for six years from 1986 to 1992 and from 1992 to 1994 was its State Department correspondent.

Sieff has covered conflicts in his native Northern Ireland, Israel and the West Bank, Iraq, Indonesia, Bosnia, Russia, Poland, Azerbaijan, Georgia and the Baltic states. He has reported on economic trends in China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Germany, Russia, Poland, Syria, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, and Turkey.

Sieff led UPI’s political coverage of the 2000, 2004 and 2008 presidential election campaigns. From May 2005 to July 2007 he was UPI’s National Security Correspondent and from October 2003 to May 2005 he was its Chief Political Correspondent. From May 1999 to January 2000 he was UPI’s national security editor; from January to March 2000, its Assistant Managing Editor for International Affairs, and from March 2000 to March 2001 its Managing Editor, International Affairs and from March 2001 to October 2003 its Chief News Analyst, a position he took up again from 2006 to 2009.

From 1994 to 1999, Sieff was Chief Foreign Correspondent for The Washington Times. He was the Times’ Soviet and East European correspondent covering the collapse of communism for six years from 1986 to 1992 and from 1992 to 1994 was its State Department correspondent. He received his first two Pulitzer Prize nominations for international reporting for covering the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe (1989) and in the Soviet Union (1990) and his third one for covering NATO expansion into Eastern Europe and its consequences (1997).

Sieff’s articles have also appeared in, The Daily Beast, The American Conservative, National Review, Fox News, Human Events, Commentary, Pravda, Russia Insider, the Jerusalem Report, and many other newspapers and journals.

He has appeared on Fox News, National Public Radio, the British Broadcasting Corporation, Russia Today, Russian National Television’s Channel 1, Radio Telefis Eireann in Ireland, Al-Arabiya, National Television News in Kazakhstan and many other broadcasting stations and networks in the United States and around the world.

Sieff has given lecture courses on Middle East history, American political history and the rise and fall of international broadcast news in the United States

From 1980 to 1984, Sieff held a series of positions on the Belfast Telegraph newspaper, the largest circulation newspaper in Ireland, including copy editor, production editor, and crime and terrorism editor. From 1984 to 1985 he was foreign editor and business editor on the Belfast News Letter, the second largest newspaper in Northern Ireland. During those years, he covered the civil war, terrorist and counter terrorism operations in Northern Ireland.

From 1977 to 1979, Sieff was first a researcher and then a Middle East affairs correspondent on the Jerusalem Post in Israel. He covered among other stories at that time, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat’s visit to Jerusalem that launched the Israel-Arab peace process.

Sieff received his B.A. and M.A in modern history from Oxford University in 1972 and 1976. He did graduate work in Middle East studies at the London School of Economics from 1973 to 1976. He is a U.S. and Irish citizen.